Tuesday, April 10, 2007

Even the MSM is Starting to Hedge Its Bets About Global Warming

An illustrious example of how even the MSM is becoming less than certain about Al Gore's (and the NAE's) alarms over global warming comes from an acute article written by Dr. Richard S. Lindzen (shown at left) and published in the latest Newsweek magazine. I print an excerpt below.

Judging from the media in recent months, the debate over global warming is now over. There has been a net warming of the earth over the last century and a half, and our greenhouse gas emissions are contributing at some level. Both of these statements are almost certainly true. What of it? Recently many people have said that the earth is facing a crisis requiring urgent action. This statement has nothing to do with science. There is no compelling evidence that the warming trend we've seen will amount to anything close to catastrophe.

What most commentators—and many scientists—seem to miss is that the only thing we can say with certainly about climate is that it changes. The earth is always warming or cooling by as much as a few tenths of a degree a year; periods of constant average temperatures are rare. Looking back on the earth's climate history, it's apparent that there's no such thing as an optimal temperature—a climate at which everything is just right. The current alarm rests on the false assumption not only that we live in a perfect world, temperaturewise, but also that our warming forecasts for the year 2040 are somehow more reliable than the weatherman's forecast for next week.


A warmer climate could prove to be more beneficial than the one we have now. Much of the alarm over climate change is based on ignorance of what is normal for weather and climate. There is no evidence, for instance, that extreme weather events are increasing in any systematic way, according to scientists at the U.S. National Hurricane Center, the World Meteorological Organization and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (which released the second part of this year's report earlier this month). Indeed, meteorological theory holds that, outside the tropics, weather in a warming world should be less variable, which might be a good thing.


In many other respects, the ill effects of warming are overblown...


Richard S. Lindzen, Newsweek tells us, "is the Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Meteorology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. His research has always been funded exclusively by the U.S. government. He receives no funding from any energy companies."

That less sentence I find especially interesting, indicative as it is that Newsweek might not trust a person's arguments against global warming if he were somehow involved in an energy company. That bias aside, however, Newsweek's publishing of this article is praiseworthy.

What the magazine doesn't tell us about Professor Lindzen, however, is that he is also a recipient of the American Meteorological Society's Meisinger Award and Charney Award, and of the AGU's Macelwane Medal. He is a corresponding member of the NAS Committee on Human Rights, a member of the NRC Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, and a Fellow of the AAAS1. He is a consultant to the Global Modeling and Simulation Group at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, and a Distinguished Visiting Scientist at California Institute of Technology's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

And, one more item, Professor Lindzen's degrees, including his doctorate, all come from Harvard University.